Seismic Risk Analysis Methods for the Population and Urbanized Territories

The factors determining seismic risk are considered. Description of uniform analysis methods of the seismic risk for the inhabitants and the built-up territories during destructive earthquakes is provided. Methodical approaches to obtaining the damage rules and people injuries, indicators of vulnerability definition and risk are offered. Characteristic parameters of the normal law function of building vulnerability, including the information about consequences of destructive earthquakes over the last hundred years, are received on the basis of statistical selection. Dependencies between the characteristics of urbanized territory and its vulnerability range are established. The technique of quantitative danger assessment, vulnerability and risk of earthquake emergency is developed. Recommendations are provided to create thematic seismic risk maps with application of GIS-technologies. Stage-by-stage creation of the GIS-project is presented. The seismic risk map fragment constructed in the way of qualitative background is given.

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