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Comparison of Maximum Likelihood and Least Absolute Deviate Estimation in Random Coefficients Autoregressive Model

Authors: Goryainov V.B., Goryainova E.R. Published: 17.06.2015
Published in issue: #3(60)/2015  
DOI: 10.18698/1812-3368-2015-3-20-30

 
Category: Mathematics and Mechanics | Chapter: Probability Theory and Mathematical Statistics  
Keywords: random coefficient autoregressive model, least absolute deviations estimate, maximum likelihood estimate, asymptotic relative efficiency

The paper presents the calculation method of an asymptotic relative efficiency of the least absolute deviations estimate with respect to the maximum likelihood estimate for the parameter presented in the first order autoregressive model with a stochastic coefficient. The method is based on approximation of its asymptotic relative efficiency by Taylor series. The paper considers an example of the asymptotic relative efficiency calculation for the case where diffusion of the innovation process has an approximate Gaussian distribution (Tukey distribution). It is found out that if the assumptions of the Gaussian process are performed approximately, the maximum likelihood estimate is more efficient than the least absolute deviation estimate.

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